Output MSE Comparison Examples under Various Commercial Legal Size Regulations

The comparison of the median total catches during the projection period.


Essential Inputs

Legal Size for Commercial Fisheries

Scenario Comm 13in — legal size = 13 inch

Scenario Comm 13.5in — legal size = 13.5 inch

Scenario Comm 14in — legal size = 14 inch

Scenario Comm 14.5in — legal size = 14.5 inch

Scenario Comm 15in — legal size = 15 inch

  • Based on the 2016 Stock Assessment
  • Model Type: Stock Synthesis 3
  • Time Step: 1 year
  • Start Projection: 2016-01-01
  • Projection for 20 years (a generation)
  • Uncertainty is estimated from 100 iterations
  • Observational error for initial abundance: CV=0.2
  • Observational error for initial distribution: 1000 effective sample size
  • No mixing for adults between East and West stocks
  • The current natural mortality follows the Lorenzen curve
  • Fraction before spawning: 0.5 year
  • Observational error for recruitment ratio between East and West Stocks: 1000 effective sample size
  • One age-length key for both the East & West Stocks
    (The age-length key is inputs of the stock assessment model)
  • Biological Reference Points:
       SSBMSY  1230 trillion eggs
       FMSY  0.0588
  • Fishery Status: Green
  • CVs for Release Mortality (Log-normal Distribution): 0.05
  • Use default seeds in the format of a csv file
  • The recruitment is estimated from the Beverton-Holt model, from the latest stock assessment
  • The natural mortality is estimated from the latest stock assessment
  • Constant-F harvest control rule with F is 75% of the FMSY
  • The Recreational Sector takes 49% of the total catch quota
  • The Federal For-hire Component takes 42.3% of the recreational catch
  • The Probability of Overfishing is set at 40%
  • Commercial ACT buffer: 0%, Federal For-hire ACT buffer: 9%; Private angling ACT buffer: 20%
  • Current recreational legal size and bag limit regulations are adopted
  • The Release mortality is estimated from the latest stock assessment
  • Catch rates are estimated according to the 2018-2019 observations
  • The Penalty will be applied if the actual landing exceeds ACT, but no carryover
  • Private angling quota among States are: AL 26.3%, FL 44.82%, LA 19.12%, MS 3.55% and TX 6.21%

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You can also evaluate the effect of using different allocations for Commercial and Recreational Sectors, click here.